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[EARLY BREXIT (2019)] = [EARLY GLOBAL RECESSION (2020 INSTEAD OF 2021)]... so time it right (2021-01-06)!

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Gold was a BUY at $1399. Do not be selfish... Gold is a SELL at $1666 by 2019-09-03... Then the unselfish shall fuel BLACK FRIDAY (dow) like never before with the $1399 to $1699 gain for the unselfish. The recession shall be delayed until 2021-01-06; IF EVERYONE is not selfish. Then Gold is a BUY again in about 6 months (unless they are selfish). :D


BENNN Forecasted Days Since the Top of the Market:
(prior to recession the market may remain flat for months)

Days : Hours : Min. : Sec.
(2018-01-01 UTC)
Dow Jones (daily):
The Dow Jones Industrial Average provides a view of the US stock market and economy. Originally, the index was made up of 12 stocks, it now contains 30 component companies in various industries. For more components based information visit their website, http://us.spindices.com/indexology/djia-and-sp-500/?go=industrial-components. For more general information please visit their website, http://us.spindices.com/indexology/djia-and-sp-500?homepage=true. Copyright © 2016, S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC. All rights reserved. Reproduction of Dow Jones Industrial Average in any form is prohibited except with the prior written permission of S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC (“S&P”). S&P does not guarantee the accuracy, adequacy, completeness or availability of any information and is not responsible for any errors or omissions, regardless of the cause or for the results obtained from the use of such information. S&P DISCLAIMS ANY AND ALL EXPRESS OR IMPLIED WARRANTIES, INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED TO, ANY WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY OR FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE OR USE. In no event shall S&P be liable for any direct, indirect, special or consequential damages, costs, expenses, legal fees, or losses (including lost income or lost profit and opportunity costs) in connection with subscriber’s or others’ use of Dow Jones Industrial Average.(green only for September due to the "Black Friday" event; then red)

(or SELL gold at $1666 to buy DOW)

(since: 2017-10-01)

Dow Jones & Gold (monthly) - (Percent Change):
(since: 2011-09-09)
Dow Jones & Gold (daily) - (Percent Change from Year Ago):
(since: 2011-09-09)

Gold; Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Purchasing Power; & Dow Jones... (monthly) - (Percent Change from Year Ago):
(since: 1999-09-09)
Dow Jones; Gold; Effective Federal Funds Rate; & Diesel: New York Harbor... (daily) - (Percent Change):
(since: 2019-06-06)
Federal Debt: Total Public Debt; Dow Jones; Gold; Copper; Bitcoin... (quarterly) - (Compounded Annual Rate of Change):
(since: 2011-09-09)

NEED MORE TIME?

MORE TIME = SELL GOLD at $1666 by 2019-09-03, BUY DOW, SELL DOW, BUY GOLD (until 2021-01-06)
For some reason "FB people" are trying to visit "the others"... The USAF should stop them; as they are likely not the best leaders to send for World Peace Day on 2019-09-21.

Days : Hours : Min. : Sec.
(2019-09-20 UTC)
BENNN Forecasted Recession (Part 1 of 2) (Earliest) Start Date:(green status: IF Brexit is delayed until 2021-01-06)(2019-12-19 UTC)
 Saudi Arabia "almost" runs out of money (foreign reserves); partly due to falling oil prices: (Expect a rise in oil.)
(2020-06-06 UTC)
BENNN Forecasted Recession (Part 1 of 2) (Earliest) End Date:(2022-08-06 UTC)
Wave I:
(2020-12-19 UTC)
Wave II:
(2025-06-06 UTC)
Brexit Extension Date:
Days : Hours : Min. : Sec.
(yellow for September then red; if an announcement of one more 8 to 12 month delay) NEW BREXIT DELAY SOON or the Queen will go down there oneself & show one how nature always corrects oneself. A very "short" new respectable delay like new EU Chief supports; such as about 6 to 13 more months are need for the markets, perhaps (search). The no-deal option has been blocked. The USA might trade in other regions if no-deal. So the deal will end up with a very short delay, perhaps, to avoid a bad deal too early.
(2019-10-31 UTC) or (2020-11-29 UTC) or later!
BENNN Forecasted Recession (Part 2 of 2) (Latest) Start Date:(2021-06-06 UTC)
BENNN Forecasted Recession (Part 2 of 2) (Latest) End Date:(2027-09-09 UTC)
BENNN Forecasted Effective Federal Funds Rate (1955 to 2066):
Averages of daily figures. The federal funds rate is the interest rate at which depository institutions trade federal funds (balances held at Federal Reserve Banks) with each other overnight. When a depository institution has surplus balances in its reserve account, it lends to other banks in need of larger balances. In simpler terms, a bank with excess cash, which is often referred to as liquidity, will lend to another bank that needs to quickly raise liquidity. (1) The rate that the borrowing institution pays to the lending institution is determined between the two banks; the weighted average rate for all of these types of negotiations is called the effective federal funds rate.(2) The effective federal funds rate is essentially determined by the market but is influenced by the Federal Reserve through open market operations to reach the federal funds rate target.(2) The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meets eight times a year to determine the federal funds target rate. As previously stated, this rate influences the effective federal funds rate through open market operations or by buying and selling of government bonds (government debt).(2) More specifically, the Federal Reserve decreases liquidity by selling government bonds, thereby raising the federal funds rate because banks have less liquidity to trade with other banks. Similarly, the Federal Reserve can increase liquidity by buying government bonds, decreasing the federal funds rate because banks have excess liquidity for trade. Whether the Federal Reserve wants to buy or sell bonds depends on the state of the economy. If the FOMC believes the economy is growing too fast and inflation pressures are inconsistent with the dual mandate of the Federal Reserve, the Committee may set a higher federal funds rate target to temper economic activity. In the opposing scenario, the FOMC may set a lower federal funds rate target to spur greater economic activity. Therefore, the FOMC must observe the current state of the economy to determine the best course of monetary policy that will maximize economic growth while adhering to the dual mandate set forth by Congress. In making its monetary policy decisions, the FOMC considers a wealth of economic data, such as: trends in prices and wages, employment, consumer spending and income, business investments, and foreign exchange markets. The federal funds rate is the central interest rate in the U.S. financial market. It influences other interest rates such as the prime rate, which is the rate banks charge their customers with higher credit ratings. Additionally, the federal funds rate indirectly influences longer- term interest rates such as mortgages, loans, and savings, all of which are very important to consumer wealth and confidence.(2) References (1) Federal Reserve Bank of New York. “Federal funds.” Fedpoints, August 2007. (2) Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. “Monetary Policy”. http://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/default.htm.

(2044-06-06 UTC)
Recession (monthly):
Smoothed recession probabilities for the United States are obtained from a dynamic-factor markov-switching model applied to four monthly coincident variables: non-farm payroll employment, the index of industrial production, real personal income excluding transfer payments, and real manufacturing and trade sales. This model was originally developed in Chauvet, M., "An Economic Characterization of Business Cycle Dynamics with Factor Structure and Regime Switching," International Economic Review, 1998, 39, 969-996. (http://faculty.ucr.edu/~chauvet/ier.pdf)(since: 2009-08-01)
Gold (daily):

(red for September only; then green)
(since: 2015-11-11)
AI Takeover
Wave I:
(2025-06-06 UTC)
Wave II:
(2033-06-06 UTC)
GDP (quarterly):
Gross domestic product (GDP) is the value of the goods and services produced by the nation’s economy less the value of the goods and services used up in production. GDP is also equal to the sum of personal consumption expenditures, gross private domestic investment, net exports of goods and services, and government consumption expenditures and gross investment. Real values are inflation-adjusted estimates—that is, estimates that exclude the effects of price changes. For more information about this series, please see http://www.bea.gov/national/.(since: 2002-06-06)



(Expect a rise in water.)
 
(2050-06-06 UTC)
Crude Oil (daily):

(since: 2002-01-06)
BTC (daily):
(since: 2018-12-13)
BENNN Forecasted Global Population:

(2044-06-06 UTC)
Effective Funds Rate:
The federal funds rate is the interest rate at which depository institutions trade federal funds (balances held at Federal Reserve Banks) with each other overnight. When a depository institution has surplus balances in its reserve account, it lends to other banks in need of larger balances. In simpler terms, a bank with excess cash, which is often referred to as liquidity, will lend to another bank that needs to quickly raise liquidity. (1) The rate that the borrowing institution pays to the lending institution is determined between the two banks; the weighted average rate for all of these types of negotiations is called the effective federal funds rate.(2) The effective federal funds rate is essentially determined by the market but is influenced by the Federal Reserve through open market operations to reach the federal funds rate target.(2) The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meets eight times a year to determine the federal funds target rate. As previously stated, this rate influences the effective federal funds rate through open market operations or by buying and selling of government bonds (government debt).(2) More specifically, the Federal Reserve decreases liquidity by selling government bonds, thereby raising the federal funds rate because banks have less liquidity to trade with other banks. Similarly, the Federal Reserve can increase liquidity by buying government bonds, decreasing the federal funds rate because banks have excess liquidity for trade. Whether the Federal Reserve wants to buy or sell bonds depends on the state of the economy. If the FOMC believes the economy is growing too fast and inflation pressures are inconsistent with the dual mandate of the Federal Reserve, the Committee may set a higher federal funds rate target to temper economic activity. In the opposing scenario, the FOMC may set a lower federal funds rate target to spur greater economic activity. Therefore, the FOMC must observe the current state of the economy to determine the best course of monetary policy that will maximize economic growth while adhering to the dual mandate set forth by Congress. In making its monetary policy decisions, the FOMC considers a wealth of economic data, such as: trends in prices and wages, employment, consumer spending and income, business investments, and foreign exchange markets. The federal funds rate is the central interest rate in the U.S. financial market. It influences other interest rates such as the prime rate, which is the rate banks charge their customers with higher credit ratings. Additionally, the federal funds rate indirectly influences longer- term interest rates such as mortgages, loans, and savings, all of which are very important to consumer wealth and confidence.(2) References (1) Federal Reserve Bank of New York. “Federal funds.” Fedpoints, August 2007. (2) Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. “Monetary Policy”. http://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/default.htm.
(since: 2004-06-06)
Total Retail Employees:
The series comes from the 'Current Employment Statistics (Establishment Survey).(since: 1986-09-06)
Domestic Vehicles Sold:
Autos are all passenger cars, including station wagons. Domestic sales are all United States (U.S.) sales of vehicles assembled in the U.S., Canada, and Mexico.
(since: 1972-10-18)
E-Commerce Retail:
 E-commerce sales are sales of goods and services where the buyer places an order, or the price and terms of the sale are negotiated over an Internet, mobile device (M-commerce), extranet, Electronic Data Interchange (EDI) network, electronic mail, or other comparable online system. Payment may or may not be made online.
(since: 2006-06-06)
Real Retail & Food:
 This series is constructed as Advance Retail and Food Services Sales (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/RSAFS) deflated using the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (1982-84=100) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CPIAUCSL).
(since: 1999-01-06)
Retail Money Funds:
The retail money funds component of M2 is constructed from weekly data collected by the Investment Company Institute (ICI), a trade association for the investment company industry. The retail money funds component of M2 excludes IRA and Keogh balances held at MMMFs, which are reported by ICI on a quarterly basis.
(green for September; then yellow)
(since: 1999-01-06)

Crypto Total Market Cap:
(since: 2019-01-01)

YELLOW VEST MOVEMENT

[ACTIVATED]

On 2018-11-17, it was a very cold & eerie early morning. The Yellow Vest Movement began. The timeline is growing rapidly (search news or search LIVE video or search LiveLeak). This looks like the early 1930's as the roaring 1920's are over.


Days : Hours : Min. : Sec.
(since: 2018-11-17)

First American President to Visit North Korea
Published: 2019-07-01
BENNN Rating: 10/10 (100%)
Online Streaming: | Youtube | Audio Language: English & Korean
Download

Diesel Fuel (weekly):

(since: 2019-06-06)
Regular & Diesel Fuel (weekly):

(since: 2019-06-06)

Regular; Diesel; & Reformulated Fuel for East, Midwest, & West Coast (weekly):

(since: 2019-06-06)

Real Exports & Imports (quarterly):

(since: 2018-06-06)
Federal Debt: Total Public Debt (annually: end of period):

(since: 2019-06-06)

Invest in American land?... Perhaps, buy the dip?

Orlando Housing Status:
Estimated using sales prices and appraisal data.(since: 2002-06-06)
Connecticut Housing:
Estimated using sales prices and appraisal data.
(since: 2002-06-06)
California Housing:
 Estimated using sales prices and appraisal data.
(since: 2002-06-06)
Houses Sold Status:
(since: 2002-06-06)
National Housing:

(since: 2002-06-06)
Ohio Housing:
Estimated using sales prices and appraisal data.(since: 2002-06-06)
Pennsylvania Housing:
Estimated using sales prices and appraisal data.
(since: 2002-06-06)
West Virginia Housing:
Estimated using sales prices and appraisal data.
(since: 2002-06-06)
Kentucky Housing:
Estimated using sales prices and appraisal data.(since: 2002-06-06)
Michigan Housing:

(since: 2002-06-06)

BTC Trend Analysis

Total Crypto Market Analysis

Invest in Gold?... Perhaps, the last dip ends soon?



Gold - Daily Status (present):
(since: 2006-03-06)
Gold - Daily Status (present):

(red for September only; then green)

(since: 2019-06-06)

BENNN Gold Forecast
Click BUY (email me) to purchase the
premium BENNN Gold Forecast 1920 to 2055
(2019-04 edition)
pay in BTC, only $6.66 USD.
(Gold Forecast; Last Updated: 2019-08-09)
 2019-08-29
$1606 USD
Note: 90 days before black friday. Many may sell gold to pump dow via black friday sale "fuel". Perhaps, the last dip before the recession will be around 2019-09-29.
2019-09-29
$1466 USD
Note: 60 days before black friday.
2019-10-29
$1499 USD
Note: 30 days before black friday.
2019-11-29
$1566 USD
Note: 0 days before black friday.
2019-12-29
$1666 USD
Note: 30 days after black friday. Perhaps, "TV mindful program awareness" will illuminate all of the black friday & YTD data.
2020-01-29
$1666 USD
Note: 66 days after black friday. Perhaps, everyone will have fueled the Dow. Perhaps, money supply increases to fuel Dow & lower Gold by selling gold to Dow with increase of money supplied sold into Dow. That could, perhaps, by 12 months for the American election to be cleared of a pre-election recession nightmare. And it would be nice to get just one more year. SO... Gold may correct from the EARLY MASSIVE INCREASE of buyers just like it did in 1973.
2020-02-29
"$1466 USD (or $1766 IF the recession starts on 2020-01-06)" & "WARNING: Brexit may cause an early (2020 instead of 2021) recession!"
Note: 99 days after black friday. Perhaps, "TV mindful program awareness" will illuminate all of the black friday & YTD data that will enable more time (delay recession to 2021) to buy OR not & the recession will start in 2020 instead of the 2021 idea.

Gold - Daily Status (present):

(red for September only; then green)
(since: 2015-11-11)
Gold - Daily Status (present):

(red for September only; then green)
(since: 2018-09-29)

Gold - Daily Status (past) (2008 / 2009 Great Recession I):

(2007-09-29 to 2011-09-29)
Gold - Daily Status (present) (2020 / 2021 Great Recession II):

(red for September only; then green)
(since: 2018-09-29)
Gold - Daily Status (past) (1990 / 1991 recession):

(1990-06-29 to 1991-09-29)
Gold - Daily Status (past) (2001 recession):

(2000-09-29 to 2006-09-29)
Gold - Daily Status (past) (1973 / 1974 / 1975 recession):

(1973-05-06 to 1975-09-29)
Gold - Daily Status  (past) (1979 / 1980 recession):

(1979-08-29 to 1980-09-29)

Published: 2019-08-12 - Updated: 2019-08-13

(red for September only; then green)


GOLD UPDATE: Perhaps, Gold is being over purchased slightly too early? Exactly like it was around 1973 (see chart - below); during the end of the gold standard. Meaning: gold can lower & the recession can be delayed up to about 2021-01-06 instead of 2020-01-06 (after the American election too). They can print money, buy gold, sell gold, buy down, sell dow, buy gold; and allow dow to fall after the election. Black Friday 2020 would be "wonderful" as "everyone" would "stock up for the recession".


Gold - Daily Status (past) (1973 / 1974 / 1975 recession):

(1973-05-06 to 1975-09-29)

Humans are so excited to buy the Gold that it is still before the largest day of the year for consumer spending and producer supplying. However, retail is still holding value (see chart - below).

Retail Money Funds:
The retail money funds component of M2 is constructed from weekly data collected by the Investment Company Institute (ICI), a trade association for the investment company industry. The retail money funds component of M2 excludes IRA and Keogh balances held at MMMFs, which are reported by ICI on a quarterly basis.
(green for September; then yellow)
(since: 1999-01-06)

Perhaps, E-commerce is helping (in some ways) with the positive delay.

E-Commerce Retail:
 E-commerce sales are sales of goods and services where the buyer places an order, or the price and terms of the sale are negotiated over an Internet, mobile device (M-commerce), extranet, Electronic Data Interchange (EDI) network, electronic mail, or other comparable online system. Payment may or may not be made online.
(since: 2006-06-06)

Therefore, many corporations may sell the Gold to "fuel" the Black Friday mega event of the year. So there perhaps may be a tiny correction or dip from 2019-08-16 through 2019-09-16. 

However, from 2019-09-01 through 2019-09-29 would likely be the last dip at this level before 2021 or 2022.

Published: 2019-06-19 - Updated: 2019-06-23

Gold Comments: Perhaps, gold reaches a short-term peak by 2019-06-29; however I expect at least only one more dip prior to 2020-01-06. Perhaps, gold will be sold by 2019-11-06 to fuel "Black Friday" (2019-11-29). Historically speaking, a massive spending event enables gold to dip one last time; while the onset of a 2020-01-06 recession enables the gold to return to higher levels around 2019-11-11 to 2021-06-06 (for 12 to 36 months).

One more factor: Perhaps, a short-term massive Gold sell off to convert to DJIA (only after 2019-09-19 or by 2019-11-11 as a short-term special stimulus)(search), so that the next fall of the DJIA will be delayed with the attempt to try & save it one last time prior to the massive natural recession corrections as they illuminate within linear time.

Perhaps, the next gold dip will be on 2019-07-04 to 2019-10-31 (yes; "Halloween" the next Brexit date). Perhaps, the gold bottom (historical chart) will be around 2019-09-09. However, if oil prices DO NOT RISE enough for Saudi Arabia, then they could almost run out of money (purchasing power) by 2020-06-06 ().

Perhaps, there will be a large war (map) in Iran that causes oil prices to soar to over $100 per barrel. Iran almost runs out of money (search) by 2021-06-06. Then Saudi Arabia might not almost run out of money by 2020-06-06 (). May the one God (one original root source of all) guide & protect all humans during these dates.

BENNN Forecasted WWIII Start Date:

Conclusion: I feel that a massive (perhaps even man-made) gold dip will occur at least one more time after 2019-07-03 to "confuse" investors or it will just naturally dip.

Special select date: 2020-11-03 is "The American Presidential Election").

I must add: the Trump movement will win for certain (99.9%).

These comments are not a promise, but my personal ideas... on what it "feels like" & "looks like" "Gold is doing" & "why". ;-)

Published: 2019-06-19 - Updated: 2019-06-23

Gold; DJIA; Gas; Housing; Retail; BTC - Monthly Status:

(since: 2018-06-06)

Gold; DJIA; Gas; Housing; Retail; USD/BTC; USD/EURO; USD/CNY; USD/SEK; USD/NZD; USD/NOK; USD/ETH - (mostly daily) Status:

(since: 2018-06-06)



Climate Change is Accelerating

Watch the largest ever filmed glacier calving.
BENNN Rating: 10/10 (100%)
Online Streaming: Youtube | Audio Language: English

Download



More: facebook; instagram; news; search; TED-talks(download); or Videos.
BENNN Rating: 10/10 (100%)
Online Streaming: Youtube | Audio Language: English

Download


Donald J. Trump @realDonaldTrump

"We must honor the sacred memory of those we have lost by acting as ONE PEOPLE. Open wounds cannot heal if we are divided. We must seek real, bipartisan solutions that will truly make America safer and better for all." -Trump (2019-08-05)
BENNN Rating: 06/10 (60%)
Online Streaming: Youtube | Audio Language: English

Download
 Jack Ma gives some of the best advice one can share... Creating in one's 30's can be an extreamly inspirational gift by positive actions from others. -BENNN (2019-08-05)
BENNN Rating: 10/10 (100%)
Online Streaming: Youtube | Audio Language: French

Download

Venezuela
The crisis in Venezuela is significantly worsening... There is only one God at the root source of everything & may that God help the humans in Venezuela & all of the other regions currently in a total crisis.
BENNN Rating: 10/10 (100%)
Online Streaming: Youtube | Audio Language: English

Download
France
The crisis in France is significantly worsening... There is only one God at the root source of everything & may that God help the humans in France & all of the other regions currently in a total crisis.
BENNN Rating: 10/10 (100%)
Online Streaming: Youtube | Audio Language: French
Subtitles: English
Download

Global Debt & Housing Crisis
The global housing crisis took a sudden shift in 2012; in terms of historical data which is significantly worsening from 2012 to present... The Artificial Intelligence that one created illuminates 39+ years into the future & the results are unfavorable or catastrophic for some. There is only one God at the root source of everything & may that God help the humans in the global debt & housing crisis.
BENNN Rating: 10/10 (100%)
Online Streaming: Youtube | Audio Language: English
Download
Global Energy Crisis
The global energy crisis is significantly worsening... There is only one God at the root source of everything & may that God help the humans in the global energy crisis.
BENNN Rating: 10/10 (100%)
Online Streaming: Youtube | Audio Language: English
Download: (part 1of 2) (part 2 of 2)

Artificial Intelligence Crisis
This is a warning. Once the AI is released, there is no exit.
BENNN Rating: 10/10 (100%)
Online Streaming: Youtube | Audio Language: English
Download
Follow Elon Musk: Twitter; Energy; Brain; Tunnel; OpenAI
Artificial Intelligence Crisis
This is a warning. Once the AI is released, there is no exit.
BENNN Rating: 10/10 (100%)
Online Streaming: Youtube | Audio Language: English
Download
Follow Nick Bostrom: Future of Humanity Institute

BENNN needs the help of the thousands of monthly viewers! Can someone e-mail me which herb may lower TSH levels for Hypothyroidism? BENNN recommends using free protonmail.ch email. ;-) HINT: If the Hypothalamus was damaged from radioactive iodine, electricity, & other DNA damage. Something that rebuilds the Hypothalamus from cellular damage... BENNN was thinking something like Organic plant-based Antioxidant: Resveratrol (extract), PQQ, Curcumin, CBDA oil, & CoQ10... What does one think?




WARNING!!! WARNING!!! WARNING!!!

BENNN DOES NOT RECOMMEND USING CRYPTOS;

UNLESS ONE HAS 100% CONTROL OVER ONE'S OWN WALLET & BACKUP SEEDS OR KEYS TO RESTORE THE WALLET IF THE COMPUTER CRASHES. THE BIGGEST MISTAKE ONE CAN MAKE IS NOT HAVING CONTROL OVER ONE'S OWN WALLET (VERY HIGH RISK) & OR TRUSTING A THIRD PARTY TO MANAGE ONE'S WALLET FOR ONE.

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There is only one God... one root source... one that started & created all...

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